An inverted yield curve is a good, if imperfect, recession indicator. The economy has been resilient to the latest inversion.

The Treasury yield curve has reentered the financial chat, as investors and traders remain mindful of its strong record of forecasting recessions. Why it matters: In the past, when certain segments of ...

Investors increase bets on yield curve steepener trades. Markets expect Fed rate cuts despite Middle East uncertainty. Long-term Treasury yields pressured by inflation and deficits. War spending and ...

US Treasury yields continued to rise last week, and the trend profile suggests we haven’t seen the peak yet. The benchmark 10-year yield, for example, increased for a fourth straight week, closing on ...

Shorter-term US Treasury yields have fallen, while yields on longer-dated bonds could remain elevated, thanks to the threat of higher inflation and investor concerns surrounding the federal deficit.

Recently, I have been seeing the term "NISA poverty." It refers to a phenomenon where people invest too much money, making ...

Keeping short-term rates low to reflect the natural rate of interest, and long-term rates relatively high to prevent ...

Bond market investors may want to shift their focus toward the front of the yield curve, according to Allspring Global Investments' Noah Wise. The bottom line: Focus exposure on short-term Treasurys ...

NEW YORK, April 14 (Reuters) - Bond investors are doubling down on so-called "curve steepener" trades that are bullish on ⁠short-dated ⁠U.S. Treasuries but bearish on the long end, reflecting ...

The Fed has cut rates aggressively, yet the 10-year Treasury yield hasn't budged—and the reason why spells serious trouble for investors banking on a rate cut. A steepening yield curve driven by ...

Most fixed income conversations in 2026 have been dominated by one question: when does the Fed cut again? It’s a reasonable preoccupation, but for muni investors specifically, it may be the wrong ...