MICHAEL KOFMAN is Senior Fellow in the Russia and Eurasia Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and hosts the podcast The Russia Contingency at War on the Rocks. He previously ...
There is more of a global consensus about the nature of the challenge than ever before, but it has had little effect on Chinese policy. Now, the problem is morphing into a qualitatively new and more ...
Eighteen months later, however, the United States is bogged down in a new war in the Middle East. Although the U.S. military has enjoyed tactical successes, Washington has not achieved any kind of ...
But activity is not strategy—and, as demonstrated by the massive strikes across Ukraine and Russia in recent weeks, it has yet to produce results. To make real progress toward peace, Washington should ...
In this view, the spread of AI through the economy will generate such tremendous growth that it will generate huge new tax revenues that will help pay off the debt. But any reduction in the debt ...
Among the many sectors shaping China’s economic strategy toward the United States and other Western countries, few are as important as food and agriculture. As one of the worlds ...
Tensions between North Korea and South Korea are mounting, which raises the possibility of conflict that could spill beyond the Korean Peninsula. Security coordination among Japan, South Korea, and ...
Putin will eventually leave office, whether by death, illness, or—against all observable inclinations—stepping aside. But what happens then is unclear. It could be a rushed passing of the guard, a ...
And where Trump went wrong.
A third option is suppression: the United States would forgo development of ASI and stop anyone else from building it on the basis that superintelligence is just too dangerous to be unleashed on the ...
Yet over the past 30 years, the system established by the World Trade Organization (WTO) and free-trade agreements has led to the opposite. Economic inequality and insecurity have worsened in most ...