Virginia dominated Texas on the road during its last matchup in an 88-69 win over Texas. The Hoos were on fire from beyond the arc going 12-24, and 54% from the field. The Cavaliers also shut down Texas and held them to just 41% from the floor. Chance Mallory was the leading scorer for the Hoos with 16 points off the bench.

The model has Texas Tech quarterback Behren Morton passing for more than 310 yards and three touchdowns, while West Virginia quarterback Scotty Fox Jr. throws for more than 180 yards and a score. The teams combine for 61 points as the Over clears in well over 60% of simulations.