Huawei's AI chip sales surge as Nvidia loses market share in China. Nvidia largest company by market cap on April 30 at 99.9% ...
Ukrainian drone strike hits Russian Black Sea port, escalating tensions. Ceasefire by May 31, 2026 at 8.8% YES.
The market for Jerome Powell’s potential exit as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026, is priced at 2.4% YES, down from a previous 5%.
Iran's threat of further strikes raises Brent crude futures to $111.4. Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium by December ...
Kevin Warsh's nomination as Fed Chair impacts Bitcoin outlook. Bitcoin reaching $200K by December 31, 2026 at 4.7% YES.
US House passes DHS funding bill, ending a 75-day partial shutdown. Shutdown resolution by May 1, 2026 at 85% YES.
Financial markets are inherently forward-looking, focusing on long-term trends rather than immediate events. Mathematical modeling is crucial in macroeconomics to ensure coherent and accurate economic ...
Ethereum’s potential to reach $4,000 in April is currently priced at 0.4% YES, a significant decrease from 1% over the past ...
Apple reports strong earnings, boosting market confidence. Nvidia's chances of being the largest company by June 30 drop to ...
Powell will stay on the Fed board, reducing chances of his early departure. Exit by May 14, 2026 at 2.4% YES, by May 31 at 97 ...
China eases rare earth restrictions, raising expectations for a Trump visit. Visit by May 31 priced at 79.5% YES.
In the market for Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026, the likelihood of no cuts taking place is currently priced as ...
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