Israel and Lebanon declare intent to end their 78-year state of war. Permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026 at 9.5% YES.

Grayscale plans to sell $3 billion in Bitcoin to meet cash obligations. Bitcoin above $56K on June 30, 2026 at 94.7% YES.

Iran proposed a regional security framework after attacks on Bahrain and Kuwait. Diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026 at 65.5% ...

Trump threatens to annihilate Iran amid military tensions. Final nuclear deal by August 18, 2026 at 20.5% YES; Strait of ...

Iraq urges Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz as Iran proposes a $1-per-barrel transit toll payable in Bitcoin or ...

Hezbollah kills an IDF officer in southern Lebanon, raising tensions. Israel to strike 4 countries in November 2025 at 53.2% ...

Lebanon and Israel signed a peace agreement, ending their state of war. Permanent peace deal with Hezbollah by June 30, 2026 ...

This article examines how recent events may relate to prediction market pricing. It reflects interpretive analysis of ...

Japan's government urges 'appropriate' monetary policy from the BOJ after rates hit 1%, the highest since 1995. Here's what ...

Iran imposes strict navigation routes for foreign vessels in the Strait of Hormuz. UK sending warships by June 30, 2026 at ...

Israel kills armed fighters in southern Syria and Lebanon. Strike on 4 countries in November 2025 at 54.2% YES.

Prediction market odds for OpenAI’s potential initial public offering (IPO) have decreased following reports indicating a ...