Ukraine's Deputy PM warns corruption is hindering the war effort. Ceasefire by December 31, 2026 at 20.5% YES.

This article examines how recent events may relate to prediction market pricing. It reflects interpretive analysis of ...

China cuts oil imports by 5.5 million barrels per day, causing a $30 drop in prices. New all-time high by September 30 at 2.1 ...

China's Z.ai unveils its new AI model GLM-5.3, challenging Anthropic's dominance. Anthropic's best model by September 2026 at ...

Japanese investors have net purchased over ¥5 trillion in foreign assets, driven by carry trade dynamics and low domestic ...

The execution of Majid Adineh appears to suggest increased repression amid ongoing demonstrations in Iran. Market pricing ...

Israel orders IDF to expedite destruction of Hezbollah infrastructure. Diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026 at 0.7% YES.

Iranian President Pezeshkian urges support for the Tehran-Washington memorandum despite criticism. Pezeshkian out by December ...

Iranian President Pezeshkian defends the 14-point Tehran-Washington MOU as a major diplomatic win, rejecting domestic ...

Nvidia will raise AI product prices over 15% due to memory chip costs. Alphabet largest company by market cap on September 30 ...

A Ukrainian woman is accused of killing a Russian commander in Crimea. Ukraine recapturing Crimean territory by December 31, ...

Gold call-option demand reaches a six-month high as prices stay elevated. Gold hitting $10,000 by December at 3.1% YES.