The European Commission's first merger guideline overhaul since 2004 targets digital ecosystems and data-driven markets, with ...

Iran threatens 'Stone Age' retaliation amid US strike plans. US-Iran deal with reconstruction funding in 2026 at 30% YES.

Ukrainian drones sank a Rosatom vessel in the Black Sea, with market odds for Ukraine recapturing Crimea by December 31, 2026 ...

The Federal Reserve held rates at 3.5%-3.75% with a 9-3 split vote as Chair Warsh's pullback from forward guidance rattles ...

Iran claims the US uses threats while negotiating privately. Funding for Iran reconstruction in a US-Iran deal by 2026 at 29% ...

US adds 43 Chinese companies to forced labor blacklist, raising polysilicon and mining mineral costs that could squeeze solar ...

A U.S. Navy MH-60R Sea Hawk helicopter was prepared for flight aboard the USS Michael Murphy as it supported the U.S.

Ukrainian drones struck refineries in Ufa and military sites in Crimea. Recapturing Crimea by December 31, 2026 at 8.5% YES.

Russia launched 35 missiles and 185 drones in Ukraine. NATO-Russia military clash by December 31, 2026 at 27.5% YES.

Russian Iskander-M missile strikes hit Kyiv, causing fires. Military clash with NATO by December 31, 2026 at 27.5% YES.

Russian forces infiltrate Kostiantynivka amid ongoing battle. Capture of Sloviansk by December 31 at 7.5% YES.

Missile waves hit Kiev, targeting industrial and military sites. Iran targeting Ukraine by August 31, 2026 at 3.8% YES.