June CPI fell 0.4% month-over-month, the first decline since 2020, sparking a US bond rally as traders unwind rate hike bets ...

Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh has reintroduced monetary aggregates, particularly the M2 money supply, as a significant ...

Nasdaq 100 futures fell roughly 2% as semiconductor stocks sold off on AI valuation doubts. Bitcoin dropped in tandem, ...

Fedorov's ouster reveals power struggles in Ukraine amid Russian pressure. Peace deal with Russia before 2027 at 19.5% YES.

Iran warns of Israeli interference in U.S. policy. U.S.-Iran deal with reconstruction funding in 2026 at 26.5% YES.

The likelihood of the Clarity Act becoming law in 2026 has decreased, with current odds priced at 35% on the Polymarket ...

Global stocks fell $1.3T as AI trade reverses, impacting tech stocks. Market signals show a 97% NO on a rebound in tech by ...

Middle Eastern sovereign bond spreads hit 402 bps over Treasuries, the widest since October 2022, as US-Iran tensions drive ...

Iran warns of stronger retaliation against US amid conflict escalation. US-Iran deal including reconstruction funding at 26.5 ...

Iran's IRGC claims attack on US al Udeid base in Qatar. Military action against a Gulf state on July 9 at 99.9% YES.

A vessel was hijacked off Yemen as an Iranian missile hit a US Patriot battery. Iranian military action against a Gulf state ...

Iran's IRGC targeted the US Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar, escalating the conflict. Military action against a Gulf state by July ...