US Treasury Secretary Bessent doubles buyback operations to $4B as 30-year yields hit 5.33%, the highest since 2007, amid ...

US stock futures fell as the Nasdaq 100 dropped 1.4% and S&P 500 slid 0.6%, with 30-year Treasury yields hitting 2007 highs ...

US likely to avoid large-scale combat with Iran, focusing on economic pressure. Reconstruction funding in a US-Iran deal by ...

Russia escalated its conflict with a missile barrage on Kyiv, raising the odds of Russian forces entering Druzkhivka by ...

Crack spread rises, indicating high fuel prices may persist. Crude oil reaches a new all-time high by December 31 at 13.5% ...

This article examines how recent events may relate to prediction market pricing. It reflects interpretive analysis of ...

The White House released its National Security Science and Technology Strategy, targeting AI, semiconductors, and defense ...

Greg Brockman takes control at OpenAI as it prepares for an IPO. IPO by December 31, 2026 priced at 19.5% YES.

The Clarity Act, H.R. 3633, is set for a procedural vote on September 15, which is not a final passage. Coinbase CEO Brian ...

Musalem states forward guidance is most effective at zero rates. No change in Fed rates after October 2026 at 71.5% YES.

Hudson River Trading signed a multibillion dollar deal with CoreWeave to expand AI computing capacity and access Nvidia Vera ...

Musalem highlights forward guidance as strategic near zero rates. Pause in Fed decisions by October 2026 at 59% YES.