An Iranian tanker entered territorial waters despite US warnings. Traffic normalization in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31 at ...

EU plans to limit Iran war's impact on fuel supplies. U.S. crude oil reserves falling to 325M by May 1 at 1.5% YES.

The BoJ’s statement introduces new risks, but the market has barely moved. Rate cut odds remain at 0.1% YES, with a combined ...

Iran war closes the Strait of Hormuz, disrupting 12 million barrels per day. WTI Crude Oil hitting $160 in April at 1.2% YES.

SpaceX’s IPO filing shows Starlink revenue soared 842% to $4.42B in two years. The SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026, market sits at 0% YES, while the June 30 market prices at 72% YES.

US Supreme Court ends tariffs, starting a $166B refund process in 2026. Trump visiting China by May 31 at 79.5% YES.

The US-Iran ceasefire expires today with no scheduled next round of talks. Odds for the ceasefire ending by April 21 have ...

KelpDAO hacker moves $175M after Arbitrum froze $71M linked to a $292M exploit. Another $100M+ crypto hack by December 31 at ...

Preview, its most advanced AI model, which outperforms previous benchmarks in coding, knowledge, and instruction following.

Netanyahu claims Israel neutralized the Iranian threat. U.S. invasion of Iran by December 31, 2026 priced at 1.2% YES.

IEA reports US-Israel war on Iran causes worst-ever energy crisis. Crude oil hitting $90 by June 30 at 35% YES.

Apple names John Ternus as CEO effective September 1, 2026. Ternus as Apple CEO contract resolved at 100% YES.