US adds 43 Chinese companies to forced labor blacklist, raising polysilicon and mining mineral costs that could squeeze solar ...

A U.S. Navy MH-60R Sea Hawk helicopter was prepared for flight aboard the USS Michael Murphy as it supported the U.S.

Missile waves hit Kiev, targeting industrial and military sites. Iran targeting Ukraine by August 31, 2026 at 3.8% YES.

Russian Iskander-M missile strikes hit Kyiv, causing fires. Military clash with NATO by December 31, 2026 at 27.5% YES.

Exxon and Chevron warn of sustained high fuel prices due to the Iran conflict. Crude oil reaching a new all-time high by ...

Iran threatens wider war with the US amid blockade tensions. End of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026 at 34% YES.

Trump warns Iran conflict isn't over, asserting US will win. Iran reconstruction funding in a US-Iran deal by 2026 at 29.5% ...

Russian forces infiltrate Kostiantynivka amid ongoing battle. Capture of Sloviansk by December 31 at 7.5% YES.

This article examines how recent events may relate to prediction market pricing. It reflects interpretive analysis of ...

Trump walks back promise to let Ukraine produce Patriot missiles domestically. Here's what the reversal means for defense ...

Israel's UN ambassador rules out a Palestinian state after October 7. US recognition of Palestine before 2027 at 5.4% YES.

Fed dissenters advocate for a rate hike due to inflation concerns. Rate increase by October 2026 at 22.5% YES.