Pentagon announces an AI-first strategy for the military. Anthropic providing Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026 ...

Bitcoin Price April 27-May 3: Currently priced at 0.1% YES for reaching $94,000. The market shows minimal movement, ...

Kalshi forecasts Bitcoin could drop to $59,000 amid geopolitical tensions. Bitcoin reaching $79K by April 30 at 0.1% YES.

Russian attack on a Kherson bus kills two, complicating ceasefire chances. Ceasefire by May 31, 2026 at 6.7% YES.

– The US troop withdrawal from Germany appears to suggest a de-escalation in US military posture in Europe. – Markets suggest ...

Trump rejected Iran's peace proposal, indicating a continued diplomatic stalemate. Ceasefire by April 30 at 0.1% YES.

Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Announcement market is priced at 40.5% YES, down from 44% 24 hours ago. The Bab el-Mandeb Strait ...

The Iranian regime fall by June 30 is priced at 6.5% YES, down from 8% a day ago. The probability of an Iran leadership ...

US-Israel airstrikes on Iran heighten tensions. Iranian regime fall by April 30 at 0.1% YES, by May 31 at 2.6% YES.

– Iran’s statement appears to suggest a potential resumption of hostilities, impacting the ceasefire’s stability. – The ...

China urges UN to reconsider UNIFIL withdrawal amid Lebanon conflict. Israel withdraws from Lebanon by April 30, 2026 at 0% ...

Trump criticizes the US Navy's blockade strategy as 'piracy.' Blockade lift by May 31, 2026, now at 40.5% YES.