US strikes Iranian missile sites after drone attack on a cargo ship. Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27 at 99% YES ...

Israel kills armed fighters in southern Syria and Lebanon. Strike on 4 countries in November 2025 at 54.2% YES.

Prediction market odds for OpenAI’s potential initial public offering (IPO) have decreased following reports indicating a ...

Hezbollah rejects US-mediated deal with Israel, raising tensions. Permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026 at 2.1% YES.

Messi scores six group stage goals, setting a World Cup record. Argentina finishing in another position at 50% YES.

This article examines how recent events may relate to prediction market pricing. It reflects interpretive analysis of ...

Trump criticized a forthcoming biography as "fake news" and insulted its author. Public insult on June 29, 2026 at 91.5% YES.

New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh pushes for strict inflation targets and less forward guidance while holding 30-plus crypto ...

South Korea eliminated from the 2026 World Cup after losing to South Africa. Elimination in Round of 16 at 99.9% NO.

Iran announces a six-day funeral for Ayatollah Khamenei after his assassination. No head of state in Iran by end of 2026 at 1 ...

IRGC destroys eight US installations and warns of harsher actions. Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27 at 98.8% YES ...

Colombia advances to the World Cup knockout stage after a draw with Portugal. Portugal to finish second in Group K at 99.8% ...