US missile pullback weakens NATO deterrence amid Russia tensions. Military clash with Russia by December 31, 2026 at 18.5% ...

Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Announcement market shows a 29.5% probability of a YES outcome, down from 40% 24 hours ago and 55% a ...

Algeria reaffirms commitment to OPEC as UAE plans exit by May 2026. Crude oil hitting $90 by June is now priced at 100% YES.

Netanyahu posts a montage of destruction in Lebanon amid ceasefire concerns. Withdrawal from Lebanon by June 30, 2026 at 9.5% ...

Trump orders troop withdrawal from Germany, raising NATO concerns. Russia invades a NATO country by June 30, 2026 at 2.5% YES ...

Market pricing suggests increased geopolitical tensions and higher energy prices could decrease the likelihood of Ethereum ...

Iran's ship tolling efforts yield little benefit, says US Treasury Secretary. Fed rate cut by June 2026 at 3.6% YES.

Iran faces asset freezes and military setbacks amid Gulf tensions. Iranian regime fall by June 30 at 5.5% YES.

Spirit Airlines announced it will shut down by May 31 due to financial issues. Shutdown by May 31 at 100% YES.

Iran's envoy rejects a 'humiliating peace,' lowering chances for US-Iran talks. Meeting by June 30, 2026 at 31% YES.

U.S. Treasury Secretary predicts oil prices will drop after conflict resolution. Oil at $150 in May 2026 priced at 7.5% YES.

Speculation rises over Fed leadership change after Powell-Warsh meeting. Powell out by May 31, 2026 at 98.2% YES.