The Ukrainian Defense Forces have confirmed successful strikes on Russian military targets in Crimea, including an S-400 ...

Netanyahu rules out a Palestinian state during his tenure. US recognition of Palestine before 2027 at 4.7% YES.

Houthis launched missile and drone attacks on Al-Makha military sites. Houthi military action against Israel by August 31, ...

The Fed's 9-3 split vote and 36% market odds of a September rate hike put the August CPI print at the center of macro and ...

Netanyahu formally rejected Trump's 15-point 'Board of Peace' plan for Gaza, insisting IDF forces will hold positions until ...

Russian forces launched a major assault on Odesa, threatening global food security. Russia entering Sloviansk by December 31, ...

President Trump signs 15% tariffs on polysilicon derivatives under Section 232, targeting China's 90%-plus share of global ...

Israel vows to block Iran's nuclear ambitions despite US talks. US-Iran deal with uranium enrichment cap in 2026 at 31.5% YES ...

Iran refuses US talks over interim deal violations. Next US-Iran meeting in UAE by September 30, 2026 at 0.1% YES.

Putin plans covert troop mobilization and deploys North Korean forces. Russia entering Sloviansk by December 31, 2026 at 21.5 ...

Rep. Max Miller is likely to stay in the Ohio race despite abuse allegations. Withdrawal by September 30 at 10.5% YES.

Iran confirms no direct talks with the US, only intermediaries. Meeting in UAE by September 30, 2026 at 0.1% YES.