A super PAC linked to Ted Cruz enters the Texas Senate race. Democrats winning the Texas Senate race in 2026 at 51.5% YES.

The US and Canada are negotiating a trade deal that would impose 25% tariffs on steel imports up to a quota, with 50% duties ...

China calls for US-Iran dialogue amid tensions. Next diplomatic meeting in UAE by September 30, 2026 at 0.1% YES.

Mexican heavy crude exports to US Gulf Coast refiners could drop by 250,000 barrels per day by 2026 as Pemex redirects supply ...

HYPE advanced about 5% to above $77 on Friday morning, marking a new all-time high as the asset gained further momentum.

The US Treasury plans to double bond buybacks to $4B per operation starting September 9, easing yields and lifting the Dow, S ...

S&P Global flash US Manufacturing PMI fell to 53.2 in August while services surged to 56.8, pushing the composite index to a ...

San Francisco Democrats oppose the billionaire tax proposal. Tax passing in California election 2026 at 26.5% YES.

Sundar Pichai revealed at Google I/O 2026 that AI Overviews hit 2.5 billion monthly users as Alphabet processes 3.2 ...

Citadel has unwound over 80% of the $4B in assets acquired from Situational Awareness after the AI hedge fund's leveraged ...

Hype token hits a new all-time high amid regulatory optimism. HYPE reaching $100 by December 31, 2026 at 48% YES.

This article examines how recent events may relate to prediction market pricing. It reflects interpretive analysis of ...