Bond investors demand higher yields on BlackRock's AI financing deal. Fed pause in next three decisions at 32.5% YES.

Oil prices surge amid Middle East tensions. Crude oil reaching a new all-time high by September 30 at 12.1% YES.

Eight Muslim countries condemned the Israeli raid on Al-Aqsa Mosque. Ceasefire between Israel and Iran through July 25 at ...

United Nations Secretary-General Antonio Guterres has emphasized the dire humanitarian situation in Gaza, highlighting the ...

Oil prices surge amid geopolitical tensions, raising concerns for the U.S. economy. New all-time high by September 30 at 12.1 ...

Brent crude’s rise to $100 per barrel suggests heightened demand and supply constraints. Trump’s renewed tariffs align with ...

Trump administration threatens a significant attack on Iran. Iran reconstruction funding in a US-Iran deal by 2026 at 28.5% ...

US military conducts 13th night of strikes on Iranian sites. Iran full airspace closure by August 31 at 58.5% YES.

This article examines how recent events may relate to prediction market pricing. It reflects interpretive analysis of ...

Iran’s rejection of the cease-fire deal suggests a significant hurdle in achieving a US-Iran agreement, consistent with ...

Trump considers a 'massive attack' on Iran amid military tensions. Iran reconstruction funding in a U.S.-Iran deal in 2026 at ...

Ukrainian drones targeted a logistics center in Crimea. Recapturing Crimea by December 31, 2026 is now at 9.5% YES.