Russia strikes Ukrainian ships with kamikaze drones. Ukraine recapturing Crimea by December 31, 2026 at 9.5% YES.

Trump postponed a US military strike on Iran after Gulf leaders requested more time for diplomacy, while $500M in crypto ...

Tokenized real-world assets have become the largest market on Hyperliquid, with a 19.5% chance Hyperliquid will reach $100 by ...

Saudi military strikes Houthi targets in Yemen. Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026 at 6.5% YES.

Troy Jackson replaces Platner as the Democratic candidate for Maine Senate. Democrats winning the Maine Senate race in 2026 ...

The report suggests that Trump delayed a U.S. attack, which could indicate a strategy to allow for more negotiation time with ...

Trump says US-Saudi nuclear deal won't proceed unless Saudi Arabia joins the Abraham Accords, adding geopolitical complexity ...

China's gold imports rose to 173 tonnes in June, the highest since March 2024. Gold reaching $4,500 by July 2026 at 0.9% YES.

Israel launches new air strikes in Gaza, killing at least five Palestinians. Airspace closure by August 31 at 38.5% YES.

Trump's crypto ventures hinder the Clarity Act's progress in the Senate. Clarity Act signed into law in 2026 at 33.5% YES.

Russia extends its gasoline export ban through year-end as energy traders increasingly use Bitcoin, Ether, and USDT to settle ...

The United States did not conduct any strikes on Iran on Friday night, marking the first evening without reported military ...