BlackRock is bearish on European stocks due to rising energy prices. Bitcoin dipping to $60,000 in April now at 3.6% YES.

USS Gerald Ford enters the Red Sea as Iran keeps the Strait of Hormuz closed. Fewer than 10 ships transiting the Strait ...

Hezbollah's Radwan Force commander was killed amid a fragile ceasefire. Ceasefire by April 30, 2026 at 100% YES.

Trump feared a hostage crisis after a US jet was downed in Iran, lowering the chance of a peace deal by April 22 to 13.5% YES ...

US unilateral decisions are straining Gulf relations. Military action by a Gulf state against Iran by April 30, 2026 at 6% ...

Iran recloses the Strait of Hormuz, disrupting shipping routes. Transit of 80 ships by April 30 now at 22.5% YES.

Yemen's Houthis declared "high alert" amid rising tensions, with Israeli military action against Iran by April 21 now at 15.2 ...

Qatar warns of a global shock from Iran's control over the Strait of Hormuz. Agreement to surrender uranium by April 30 at 29 ...

Iran’s internet blackout has reached 1,200 hours, now 51 days of limited connectivity. The regime fall by May 31 market sits at 3% YES.

Iran insists on its nuclear rights, complicating US negotiations. Agreement to end uranium enrichment by April 30 at 22.5% ...

Israel stated it is "locked, loaded" for potential military action against Iran. Military action by April 21 at 10.8% YES.

Solana added 1.5 million daily users monthly, but price remains stagnant. Solana above $40 on April 15 at 100% YES.