IDF soldiers caught looting Lebanese villages during operations. Trump endorsing an Israeli ceasefire by April 30 at 100% YES ...

Iran has refused to meet US officials during Islamabad negotiations, stalling diplomatic progress. The odds for a US-Iran ...

President Trump is reaffirming a confrontational approach to Iran’s nuclear capabilities, and the probability of a US-Iran ...

Nvidia’s stock hit $210, reclaiming the $5 trillion market cap. The market on whether it will be the largest company by ...

Brazil blocked Kalshi and Polymarket as officials tightened rules on prediction markets tied to sports, politics and culture.

Israel escalates operations in southern Lebanon amid rising tensions. Netanyahu leaving office by June 30 at 6% YES.

Kevin Warsh's Fed chair nomination indicates a hawkish stance on inflation. No change in rates after July 2026 at 83.5% YES.

Netanyahu revealed he underwent radiation therapy for prostate cancer. Market on him out by June 30 at 5.5% YES.

Rep. McBride speculates Tulsi Gabbard may leave the Trump Cabinet despite a White House denial. Next to leave Trump Cabinet ...

Iran and US officials meet in Islamabad with Pakistan mediating. Trump-Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30 at 2% YES.

Syria’s move against Hezbollah-linked cells suggests a shift away from old alliances. The Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by ...

Trump called Candace Owens "extremely low IQ," leading traders to price a public insult toward Tucker Carlson by April 30 at ...