Iran-linked exchange sent $676M to Binance for sanctions evasion. U.S.-Iran nuclear deal by August 13, 2026 at 0.8% YES.

Iran mobilizes proxies to disrupt shipping. Strait of Hormuz traffic normal by August 31 at 6.5% YES, airspace closure by ...

Trump claims US sanctions are destroying Iran's currency as the rial plummets. US-Iran deal including reconstruction funding ...

Iran insider warns Gulf states and Israel of potential attacks amid tensions. US-Iran deal with reconstruction funding in ...

The European Commission's first merger guideline overhaul since 2004 targets digital ecosystems and data-driven markets, with ...

Gen. Grynkewich warned US Navy destroyer shortages limit Israel defense against Iran, raising geopolitical risks for defense, ...

Kalshi reports a 60% probability of a Tesla and SpaceX merger before 2028. Merger officially announced by December 31 at 18.5 ...

Herzog warns of Iran's nuclear threat while praising Trump's Israel support. US-Iran talks by Aug 31, 2026 at 32% YES.

Houthis deny plans to charge ships in the Red Sea, easing closure concerns. Closure by September 30 at 15.5% YES.

Iran threatens 'Stone Age' retaliation amid US strike plans. US-Iran deal with reconstruction funding in 2026 at 30% YES.

Vinícius Júnior rejects Arsenal's interest and is likely to renew with Real Madrid. Staying at Real Madrid priced at 65.5% ...

Microsoft expands AI partnership with Nvidia, boosting market confidence. Nvidia largest company by August 31 at 74.5% YES.