## Market Snapshot Trump’s Visit to China market shows 0.1% YES for a visit on May 9, unchanged over the past week. The Trump ...

– The insult directed at James Comey by Trump on Truth Social appears consistent with a YES outcome. – Pricing suggests ...

BoE Governor Andrew Bailey warns US stablecoins with weak redemption mechanisms could destabilize the UK during a crisis, as ...

Strategy plans to buy 10-20 times more Bitcoin than it sells. Bitcoin reaching $85,000 by May 2026 priced at 56.5% YES.

## Market Snapshot Strait of Hormuz traffic by May 15 is priced at 1.8% YES, down from 4% 24 hours ago. Market odds for Trump ...

## Market Snapshot The market “Iranian Demands Trump Will Agree To” is currently priced at decreased odds for a YES outcome, ...

Iran's IRGC prepares for military action against US targets. Military action against neighbors at 65% YES, airspace closure ...

Israel builds a secret military base in Iraq amid rising tensions with Iran. Permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026 at 16% YES ...

Trump pledges no compromise on Iranian uranium in talks with Netanyahu. Iran to surrender uranium by December 31, 2026 at 42% ...

Trump Media reports a $406 million hit from Bitcoin and equity losses despite generating $17.9 million in quarterly cash flow ...

US strikes on Iranian tankers disrupt shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. 20 ships transiting the Strait by May 31 at 64.5% YES ...

Hyperunit whale transfers $180M ETH to Binance, raising sell-off concerns. ETH above $1,900 by May 9 at 99.9% YES.