The U.S. president has decided to scale back joint military exercises, a move that follows the Pentagon’s recent redeployment of ships from the Pacific to the Middle East. This decision comes as the ...

Iran's parliament considers a bill to restrict foreign contacts, impacting US-Iran deal odds; reconstruction funding in a deal at 26.5% YES.

Canadian oil producers abandon hedging as prices soar. Crude oil reaches a new all-time high by December 31 at 12.5% YES.

Iran is not engaging directly with Trump, influenced by Russia and China. Meeting in UAE by September 30, 2026 at 0.1% YES.

Central banks' gold reserves approach Bretton Woods peak amid geopolitical tensions. Gold hitting $10,000 by December at 3.1% YES.

AI hyperscalers are increasing borrowing amid rising US Treasury spending. Gold reaching $4,700 in August 2026 at 8% YES.

Russia warns the UK of consequences over drone support for Ukraine. Ukraine recapturing Crimea by December 31, 2026 at 6% YES ...

US Treasury proposed GENIUS Act rules defining when stablecoins are issued or sold in the US and setting standards for ...

Houthis attacked a Saudi military vessel in the Red Sea, raising tensions. Zero ships transiting Hormuz by August 31 at 50.7% ...

Meta and BlackRock's $14B, 1-gigawatt El Paso data center faces partial insurance coverage as mega AI infrastructure outpaces ...

Blackstone, Brookfield, and KKR used insurance capital to finance a $16 billion Kuwait pipeline lease, the largest foreign ...

The rise in the 30-year bond yield suggests increased borrowing costs and inflation concerns, which may influence the Federal ...