American democracy is experiencing deterioration, often overlooked until significant damage is done. Democracies can decline through elected leaders dismantling systems rather than through overt ...

Morgan Stanley warns of rising oil prices if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed. WTI Crude Oil at $130 in May 2026 priced at ...

Keir Starmer faces a leadership challenge amid Labour Party unrest. Removal by June 30, 2026, at 32.5% YES; by December 31, ...

Bitcoin briefly surpassed $82K amid improved macro conditions. All-time high by December 31, 2026 at 18.5% YES.

The market for “Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?” is currently priced at 0.8% ...

Netanyahu states the Iran conflict is ongoing and calls for uranium removal. Iran to surrender enriched uranium by December ...

Trump Insults market shows a 99.9% YES probability for May 10, 2026, up from 90% just 24 hours ago. Trump Dance Dates market ...

Netanyahu demands Iran remove uranium, complicating US-Iran nuclear talks. Iran to surrender uranium by December 31, 2026 at ...

– Trump’s rejection of Iran’s peace proposal appears to increase the likelihood of US military action. – The prospects for a ...

Iran offers to end conflict and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. WTI Crude Oil reaching $150 in May drops to 2.6% YES.

– France’s mission with Iran suggests a de-escalation effort, consistent with reduced strike likelihood. – Coordination with ...

Iran proposed transferring enriched uranium to a third country. Surrender of uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026 at 44.5% ...