Putin's approval ratings hit a wartime low, but the market sees no immediate threat to his power with odds of him being out ...

Hedge funds are selling tech stocks rapidly, indicating bearish sentiment; Ethereum under $2,000 by April 24 at 0.1% YES.

Israel’s military strikes in Gaza, killing a dozen people, have added political pressure on Prime Minister Netanyahu. The ...

Iran offers a new negotiation proposal after the US trip cancellation. Permanent peace deal by May 31 at 31.5% YES.

The April 30 crude oil market has shown minimal movement despite the Strait of Hormuz crisis. The order book is thin: only ...

U.S.-Iran tensions and oil supply issues fail to boost prices, with WTI crude hitting an all-time high by April 30 at just ...

US embassy warns of arsons targeting UK Jewish sites linked to Iran. UK strike on Iran by April 30 at 1.2% YES.

Anthropic's Mythos AI model raises crypto security concerns. Anthropic's chance of being the third best AI model by April 30 ...

Trump urged a journalist to leave Pakistan as Iran peace talks stall. Permanent peace deal by April 30 at 3.8% YES.

Trump's frustration with Europe reignites the US withdrawal from NATO debate. Withdrawal by April 30 at 0.2% YES.

Iran has told Pakistan it won’t engage in talks while a US blockade persists. The market for Iran agreeing to end uranium ...

Iran rules out US meetings in Pakistan or Oman, dampening diplomatic hopes. Next US-Iran meeting on April 24 at 0.1% YES.