US radar systems in the Middle East were damaged, raising concerns about military action. US Forces Enter Iran at 20.5% YES.

Spirit Airlines ceases operations after failing to secure a $500M bailout. Shutdown or liquidation by May 31 at 100% YES.

Iran submitted a 14-point proposal to the US to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026, at 32% YES.

US warns against paying Iran for Strait of Hormuz passage, raising tensions. Diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026 at 32.3% YES ...

Iran sets a one-month deadline for US negotiations amid nuclear tensions. Meeting by June 30, 2026 now at 32.1% YES.

US federal debt hits a record $39 trillion amid economic concerns. Q1 2026 GDP growth below 1% priced at 100% YES.

Jerome Powell confirmed he will step down as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026. Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31 priced at 97.2% YES ...

Iran criticizes Europe over nuclear deal, signaling rising tensions. Agreement to end uranium enrichment by May 31 at 9.5% ...

Trump hints at renewed strikes on Iran amid nuclear deal uncertainty. Nuclear deal by May 31 at 14.5% YES, war declaration by ...

Alphabet's Q1 earnings and 63% Google Cloud revenue growth boost confidence. Google stock reaching $310 in April at 100% YES.

Israel's defense minister warns of potential military action against Iran. Iran closes its airspace by May 8 at 13.5% YES.

US ships 6,500 tons of munitions to Israel amid rising tensions. Iran closes its airspace by May 31 at 42% YES.