Iran launched drone strikes on Bahrain targeting US Navy Fifth Fleet assets. US and Bahraini forces shot down nine drones in ...

Scotland exits the 2026 World Cup after Ghana's loss to Croatia. Scotland eliminated in the round of 32 at 0.1% YES.

This article examines how recent events may relate to prediction market pricing. It reflects interpretive analysis of ...

Nine of 19 Fed officials now project rate hikes in 2026 after inflation hit 4.2% in May. Here's what the shift means for ...

Bellingham's goal secures England's top spot in World Cup Group L. Draw against Panama on June 27 at 1.5% YES.

US and Iran to resume peace talks on Monday after a ceasefire. Diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026, at 66% YES.

Israel strikes southern Lebanon amid tensions with Hezbollah. Permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026 at 2.9% YES.

US CENTCOM struck Iranian missile and radar sites near the Strait of Hormuz on June 26, 2026, after a drone attack on a ...

This article examines how recent events may relate to prediction market pricing. It reflects interpretive analysis of ...

US strikes Iran in the Strait of Hormuz, impacting traffic normalization. Traffic returns to normal by June at 1.8% YES.

Israel announces withdrawal from southern Lebanon under a U.S. agreement. Permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026 at 9.5% YES.

Trump congratulated Lebanon's Aoun on a framework agreement with Israel. Permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026 at 1.9% YES.