– Trump’s rejection of Iran’s peace proposal appears to increase the likelihood of US military action. – The prospects for a ...

Iran offers to end conflict and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. WTI Crude Oil reaching $150 in May drops to 2.6% YES.

– France’s mission with Iran suggests a de-escalation effort, consistent with reduced strike likelihood. – Coordination with ...

A bulk carrier fire off Qatar raises tensions in the Strait of Hormuz. Normal traffic by May 15 at 1.4% YES, by end of May at ...

Netanyahu declares the Iran conflict ongoing despite a ceasefire. Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026 at 10% YES.

Israel-Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026, is priced at 16.5% YES, showing a slight increase from 16% 24 hours ago.

Iran proposed transferring enriched uranium to a third country. Surrender of uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026 at 44.5% ...

Trump warns Iran of consequences amid rising military tensions. WTI Crude Oil at $110 by May 2026 priced at 41.5% YES.

US launches Operation Economic Fury targeting Iran's economy. Diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026 priced at 24.5% YES.

Iran warns France and Britain against warship deployment near the Strait of Hormuz. UK warships through the Strait by May 31 ...

Trump hints at expanding US military targets in Iran. US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 19.5% YES; nuclear deal by May at 22 ...

Market Snapshot Next US x Iran Diplomatic Meeting market is currently inactive with no available odds. Israel-Iran Permanent ...