Pump.fun's $352 million buyback fails to improve Solana's outlook. Solana reaching $150 by April 13 priced at 0.1% YES.

Rumen Radev's party leads the Bulgarian election with 43% of votes. Radev as next prime minister after the 2026 election at 95.5% YES.

AI disruption, falling share prices, and rising default forecasts have traders watching the likelihood of a US recession in ...

Iran halts tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz amid rising tensions. US escorts for commercial ships by April 30 at ...

UAE seeks US financial support amid rising tensions with Iran. Trump agreeing to Iranian oil sanction relief in April now at ...

US forces fired on an Iranian merchant ship, leading to IRGC intervention; control of Kharg Island by June 30 at 19.5% YES.

A ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, involving Hezbollah, has been announced with US brokerage. The Israel x Hezbollah ...

Iran rejected US peace talks amid gunboat aggression in the Strait of Hormuz. Diplomatic meetings with Iran by April 30 at 21 ...

IRGC Navy declared the Strait of Hormuz closed, reducing UK warship response odds to 9% YES by April 30, 2026.

US gas prices could reach $3 per gallon by summer 2026 if the Strait of Hormuz reopens. Market at 15% YES for crude oil ...

Hezbollah's ambush kills a French soldier and an IDF reservist, raising doubts about the ceasefire's stability. Ceasefire by ...

Iran denies a second round of talks, citing excessive US demands. Permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026 now at 16.5% YES.