Brent crude prices are near $110 per barrel as US-Iran negotiations stall. The “Crude Oil All Time High by April 30” market ...

Iran and the US blockades of Hormuz fail to raise oil price expectations. Crude oil all-time high by April 30 at 0.7% YES.

Israel and Lebanon are pursuing peace talks with Hezbollah excluded. Diplomatic meeting by April 30 at 100% YES.

Japan's Finance Minister signals readiness for forex intervention amid yen weakness. Rate cut after April 2026 at 0.1% YES.

Japan’s 10-year JGB yield climbed 1.0 basis point to 2.480%, while the Polymarket contract for the Bank of Japan decreasing ...

Schumer pushes for a sixth War Powers vote to end the Iran war this week. US withdrawal from NATO by April 30 at 0.1% YES.

USS Rafael Peralta intercepted a tanker bound for Iran. US escorts commercial ships through Hormuz by April 30 at 1.9% YES.

US rejects Iran's proposal for a nuclear deal, making it unlikely by April 30; market for a deal at just 1% YES, while no ...

Bitcoin's April dip-to-$60,000 contract sits at 0% YES as U.S.-Iran tensions rise. Bitcoin above $66K on April 25 at 99.9% ...

Trump rejected Iran's proposal, lowering chances for a US-Iran meeting by June 30, 2026. Odds for no meeting now at 16.2% YES ...

Trump's team is reviewing an Iranian peace proposal amid tensions. Permanent US-Iran peace deal by April 30 at 1.6% YES, by ...

Morgan Stanley offers stablecoin issuers access to a $10M money market fund. USDC depeg by December 31, 2027 at 2.9% YES.