A South Korean vessel exploded in the Strait of Hormuz, signaling decreased likelihood of blockade lift by May 31 at 26.5% ...

SNP is projected to win a fifth term in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election. SNP winning most seats at 68.5% YES.

In the market for “Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 7?”, the current pricing is highly supportive of a YES ...

The Fed’s decision on rate cuts post-June 2026 meeting is priced at 2.5% YES, while the likelihood of no Fed rate cuts in ...

UAE intercepted missiles from Iran, raising regional tensions. Iranian military action against neighbors now at 100% YES.

Iran asserts control over the Strait of Hormuz, leading to vessel clustering near Dubai. Traffic normalization by June at ...

Western Union launched a stablecoin on Solana, boosting network confidence. Solana reaching $170 by May priced at 70% YES.

Israel orders evacuations in southern Lebanon amid military operations. Withdrawal by June 30, 2026 at 7.5% YES, by May 31, ...

Iran threatens retaliation as US-Israel military campaign escalates. Iran to strike a neighboring country by April 30, 2026 ...

Oil prices surge to $119 amid Middle East conflict. Bank of Brazil rate increase after April 2026 at 100% YES.

Iran tensions escalate as hackers leak US Navy officer data. US war declaration on Iran by December 31, 2026 at 8.5% YES.

Iran's ceasefire with the US is on the brink of collapse amid military escalations. Regime fall by May 31 at 2.6% YES.