Our projection system identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like.
FiveThirtyEight's MESSI* analysis compares how every athlete played in every men’s World Cup from 1966 to 2018 by generating statistical fingerprints of 5,899 World Cup performances. Random player ...
FiveThirtyEight’s CARMELO* identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like.
*FiveThirtyEight's Career-Arc Regression Model Estimator with Local Optimization (CARMELO) is a system that forecasts a player's future performance. The similarity score is an index measuring how ...
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